Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002955 0.003093 0.003234 0.003388 0.003553 0.003723 0.003913
2025-03-16 0.002697 0.002902 0.003118 0.003364 0.003638 0.003934 0.004278
2025-03-23 0.002510 0.002750 0.003011 0.003316 0.003665 0.004053 0.004520
2025-03-30 0.002368 0.002633 0.002925 0.003275 0.003684 0.004151 0.004728
2025-04-06 0.002276 0.002562 0.002884 0.003276 0.003744 0.004290 0.004983
2025-04-13 0.002138 0.002430 0.002763 0.003174 0.003673 0.004267 0.005034
2025-04-20 0.002073 0.002379 0.002733 0.003177 0.003726 0.004389 0.005265
2025-04-27 0.002039 0.002362 0.002741 0.003223 0.003828 0.004574 0.005581
2025-05-04 0.001969 0.002298 0.002689 0.003192 0.003832 0.004634 0.005736
2025-05-11 0.001910 0.002246 0.002648 0.003173 0.003849 0.004708 0.005909
2025-05-18 0.001855 0.002196 0.002608 0.003151 0.003860 0.004773 0.006071
2025-05-25 0.001829 0.002180 0.002610 0.003181 0.003938 0.004929 0.006362
2025-06-01 0.001783 0.002140 0.002578 0.003169 0.003961 0.005011 0.006557
2025-06-08 0.001736 0.002096 0.002542 0.003149 0.003971 0.005076 0.006729
2025-06-15 0.001682 0.002041 0.002489 0.003104 0.003946 0.005091 0.006829
2025-06-22 0.001634 0.001992 0.002443 0.003067 0.003929 0.005115 0.006940
2025-06-29 0.001604 0.001967 0.002426 0.003068 0.003964 0.005213 0.007165
2025-07-06 0.001538 0.001892 0.002342 0.002974 0.003863 0.005112 0.007083
2025-07-13 0.001513 0.001870 0.002329 0.002978 0.003899 0.005209 0.007309
2025-07-20 0.001505 0.001870 0.002343 0.003019 0.003990 0.005391 0.007675
2025-07-27 0.001470 0.001834 0.002309 0.002991 0.003979 0.005419 0.007797
2025-08-03 0.001441 0.001805 0.002282 0.002973 0.003983 0.005469 0.007956
2025-08-10 0.001412 0.001776 0.002255 0.002953 0.003982 0.005511 0.008103